So if you was to believe the media, you would think that the Tories had the General Election in the bag,
But these elections show 10% drops or more for the Tories,
date, by election locality, previous vote share %, vote share % in dated election, Loss of votes in percentage from last election.
04/02/10 Newcastle under lyne, 44.1 % > 33.1% > 25% loss of vote
02/02/10 Tandridge, 41.5 % > 30.3% > 25% loss of vote
28/01/10 Harborough DC 50% > 38.2% > 24% loss of vote
21/01/10 Wakefield 18% > 10.7% > 40% loss of vote
There is more results from the past 6 months showing the tory vote slipping, can we believe the opinion polls when the tories cant get their vote out in council by elections.
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