Tuesday, 15 December 2009

ABERAVON

Unlike other seats there has been no changes to this seat and so continues to be a strong Labour stronghold.

But the Labour grip on the area has loosened

General Election, 1 May 1997

Labour John Morris 25,650 71.3 +4.22
Liberal Democrat Ronald McConville 4,079 11.3 −1.18
Conservative Peter Harper 2,835 7.9 −5.99
Plaid Cymru Philip Cockwell 2,088 5.8 +1.01
Referendum Party Peter David 970 2.7 N/A
Independent Captain Beany 341 1.0 −0.76
Majority 21,571 62.8 +9.62
Turnout 35,963 71.9 −5.68


General election, 5 May 2005

Labour Hywel Francis 18,077 60.0 -3.1
Liberal Democrat Claire Waller 4,140 13.8 +4.0
Plaid Cymru Philip Evans 3,545 11.8 +2.1
Conservative Annunziata Rees-Mogg 3,064 10.2 +2.6
Veritas Jim Wright 768 2.6 N/A
Green Miranda La Vey 510 1.7 N/A
Majority 13,937 46.3 -7.1
Turnout 30,104 58.9 -1.9
Labour hold Swing -3.6


The candidates for the seat so far,


BNP Kevin Edwards
Labour Hywel Francis

Euro result in this constituency: Lab 35.1% Plaid 17.4% Con 11.2 UKIP 10.7 LD 7.6 BNP 6.7% Green 4.1%

Now as you can see from the results Labours high of 70% dropped to 35% in this years euro election, where as on the BNP's first showing they got 6.7% Now not all parties have declared who is staning, but without a vote splitting UKIP standing the BNP could harness the 18% euro sceptic vote and become the true opposition to Labour in this seat.

2 comments:

  1. www.cllrkevinedwards.blogspot.com is my website.

    Don't write us off on this one.

    So far we have delivered over 8000 leaflets in the constituency and the response has been phenomenal !

    No other political party has done anything yet.

    There is no such thing as a safe Labour seat anymore.

    Regards

    Kevin

    ReplyDelete
  2. good luck it's not over till it's over. Onward and at 'em.

    ReplyDelete