YEAR... CANDIDATES... % VOTE... VOTES... % INCREASE AVERAGE... VOTE/CANDIDATE
1983 53 0.0 14,621 N/A 276
1987 2 0.0 553 0.0 277
1992 13 0.1 7,631 +0.1 587
1997 56 0.1 35,832 0.0 640
2001 33 0.2 47,129 +0.1 1428
2005 119 0.7 192,746 +0.5 1620
2010 338 613,132 ? 1814 ?
So, assuming a continuation of the 12% increase in average votes per candidate that they got from 2001 to 2005 and accepting all the statistical and psephological crudities that come with doing so, the BNP would seem to be in with a good chance of getting just over 600,000 votes. If we assume that they are doing even better since 2005, then it would appear reasonable to conclude they may get up to 700,000.
i reckon the bnp will get around 1,000,000 - 1,200,000 votes
ReplyDeleteHad they been allowed in the election debate to say they wanted to pull our troops out of Afghanistan because the BS war is all about making money from a gas pipeline..you could be talking 2m votes.
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