BNP votes at the next General Election
Singles Only.
Applies to the total number of BNP votes at the next General Election according to the BBC.
Less than 500,000 1/4
500,000 to 1,000,000 9/4
1,000,001 to 1,500,000 8/1
1,500,001 to 2,000,000 16/1
More than 2,000,000 18/1
There is going to be at least 330 candidates standing to get over 500,000 votes each would have to get around 1500 votes. Considering a lot of seats will be getting more than that I would say the less than 500,000 price was too short.
The price for the BNP to win a seat is staying at around 3/1
BARKING 7/2
STOKE ON TRENT CENTRAL 12/1 another seat which you could have got 40/1 at the begining of the year
KEIGHLEY 20/1 DOWN FROM 40/1 since Andrew Brons was announced as candidate
THURROCK 20/1
DEWSBURY 28/1
DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM 33/1
BURNLEY 33/1
DUDLEY NORTH 40/1
STOKE ON TRENT SOUTH 40/1
66/1 BAR
BOSWORTH,BISHOP AUCKLAND have seen there prices slashed from 125/1 to 80/1
Showing posts with label BNP BETTING. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BNP BETTING. Show all posts
Wednesday, 21 April 2010
Tuesday, 9 March 2010
LATEST BNP BETTING, BNP 5/2 TO WIN A SEAT
You will see from here and here that I have been following the BNP betting odds for a while now.
I have highlighted in bold the price changes, the bookies are still to list all the seats in which the BNP are standing, they have also increased a lot of the outside seats to 125/1 but if you notice the same for UKIP has been extended to 150/1. The biggest move in the past few weeks is the lowering of the odds yet again for the BNP to gain a MP.
PRICES FOR BNP TO GAIN A SEAT AT THE NEXT ELECTION
PADDYPOWER 1/5 NO 3/1 YES TODAYS LATEST PRICE 1/4 NO 5/2 YES
BNP VOTES AT THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
PADDYPOWER
Less than 500,000 4/9
500,000 to 1,000,000 7/4
1,000,001 to 1,500,000 8/1
1,500,001 to 2,000,000 16/1
More than 2,000,000 14/1
You can no longer find this bet on paddypower, has it been removed for recalculations? Will keep it updated.
CONSTITUENCY BETTING
LADBROKES
9/2 BARKING 7/2 WITH PADDYPOWER TODAY
20/1 THURROCK
33/1 DAGENHAM & RAINHAM, DEWSBURY, DUDLEY NORTH40/1 NOW, STOKE ON TRENT CENTRAL40/1 NOW, STOKE ON TRENT SOUTH40/1 NOW,
50/1 BURNLEY 33/1 NOW, COPELAND, KEIGHLEY20/1 NOW, SALFORD & ECCLES
66/1 DERBY NORTH
100/1ODDS FOR ANY NOT CHANGED HAVE GONE UPTO 125/1 BARNSLEY EAST, BIRMINGHAM YARDLEY, BISHOP AUCKLAND, BLACKLEY & BROUGHTON, BRADFORD EAST, BROMSGROVE, BURTON, S.BASILDON & E. THURROCK, CHARNWOOD, CHIPPENHAM, CORBY, CROYDON CENTRAL, DURHAM NORTH, FELTHAM & HESTON, GRANTHAM & STAMFORD, HEYWOOD & MIDDLETON, HYNDBURN66/1 NOW, KETTERING, KNOWSLEY, LEICESTERSHIR SOUTH, MAIDENHEAD, NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE CENTRAL, SW NORMANTON PONTEFRACT & CASTLEFORD, NORTHAMPTON NORTH, OLD BEXLEY & SIDCUP, PENRITH & THE BORDERS, ROCHDALE, SW ROCHFORD & SOUTHEND EAST, SALISBURY, SHEFFIELD BRIGHTSIDE, SOLIHULL, WINDSOR, WORKINGTON, KIRKCADLY & COWDENBEATH, ALYN & DEESIDE
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I have highlighted in bold the price changes, the bookies are still to list all the seats in which the BNP are standing, they have also increased a lot of the outside seats to 125/1 but if you notice the same for UKIP has been extended to 150/1. The biggest move in the past few weeks is the lowering of the odds yet again for the BNP to gain a MP.
PRICES FOR BNP TO GAIN A SEAT AT THE NEXT ELECTION
PADDYPOWER 1/5 NO 3/1 YES TODAYS LATEST PRICE 1/4 NO 5/2 YES
BNP VOTES AT THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
PADDYPOWER
Less than 500,000 4/9
500,000 to 1,000,000 7/4
1,000,001 to 1,500,000 8/1
1,500,001 to 2,000,000 16/1
More than 2,000,000 14/1
You can no longer find this bet on paddypower, has it been removed for recalculations? Will keep it updated.
CONSTITUENCY BETTING
LADBROKES
9/2 BARKING 7/2 WITH PADDYPOWER TODAY
20/1 THURROCK
33/1 DAGENHAM & RAINHAM, DEWSBURY, DUDLEY NORTH40/1 NOW, STOKE ON TRENT CENTRAL40/1 NOW, STOKE ON TRENT SOUTH40/1 NOW,
50/1 BURNLEY 33/1 NOW, COPELAND, KEIGHLEY20/1 NOW, SALFORD & ECCLES
66/1 DERBY NORTH
100/1ODDS FOR ANY NOT CHANGED HAVE GONE UPTO 125/1 BARNSLEY EAST, BIRMINGHAM YARDLEY, BISHOP AUCKLAND, BLACKLEY & BROUGHTON, BRADFORD EAST, BROMSGROVE, BURTON, S.BASILDON & E. THURROCK, CHARNWOOD, CHIPPENHAM, CORBY, CROYDON CENTRAL, DURHAM NORTH, FELTHAM & HESTON, GRANTHAM & STAMFORD, HEYWOOD & MIDDLETON, HYNDBURN66/1 NOW, KETTERING, KNOWSLEY, LEICESTERSHIR SOUTH, MAIDENHEAD, NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE CENTRAL, SW NORMANTON PONTEFRACT & CASTLEFORD, NORTHAMPTON NORTH, OLD BEXLEY & SIDCUP, PENRITH & THE BORDERS, ROCHDALE, SW ROCHFORD & SOUTHEND EAST, SALISBURY, SHEFFIELD BRIGHTSIDE, SOLIHULL, WINDSOR, WORKINGTON, KIRKCADLY & COWDENBEATH, ALYN & DEESIDE
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Monday, 25 January 2010
BETTING MARKETS FULL OF RUMOURS OF FEBRUARY GENERAL ELECTION
It is rumoured that Gordon Brown might go for a surprise General Election for Feb, on the back of data expected to be announced tomorrow, saying the country is out of recession. It will also get him out of the Chilcott enquiry before the General Election scenario.
The market price for February had dropped from 40/1 to 20/1 but it all could just be speculation. There will be plenty of rumours abound.
One thing I did notice when looking at the betting markets, is that the price for the BNP not to get a candidate elected is at its longest price ever of 2/9. The price for getting an MP has been stagnant for a while at 3/1. Bookies never like to lose money so I suggest they are generally the best gauge of the climate. As any sticking your finger in the air indicator can be.
The market price for February had dropped from 40/1 to 20/1 but it all could just be speculation. There will be plenty of rumours abound.
One thing I did notice when looking at the betting markets, is that the price for the BNP not to get a candidate elected is at its longest price ever of 2/9. The price for getting an MP has been stagnant for a while at 3/1. Bookies never like to lose money so I suggest they are generally the best gauge of the climate. As any sticking your finger in the air indicator can be.
Sunday, 20 December 2009
LATEST BETTING ODDS FOR THE BNP
bnp votes at the next general election, applies to the total number of BNP votes at the next General Election according to the BBC.
Less than 500,000 4/5
500,000 to 1,000,000 11/8
1,000,001 to 1,500,000 11/2
1,500,001 to 2,000,000 12/1
More than 2,000,000 8/1
BNP chances of winning any seat at the next election is between 5/2 and 3/1 with the odds of BNP not winning any seats being 1/5
Constituency Betting.
BARKING 7/2 P, 4/1 W, 9/2 L
DEWSBURY 20/1 P, 33/1 L
KEIGHLEY 20/1 P, 16/1 W
THURROCK 20/1 L
BURNLEY 33/1 P, 50/1 L
DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM 33/1 P
COPELAND 50/1 L
HYNDBURN 66/1 P, 50/1 W, 100/1 L
DERBY NORTH 66/1 L
SOLIHULL 100/1 P
BRADFORD EAST 100/1 W
CHIPPENHAM 100/1 W
BIRMINGHAM YARDLEY 100/1 L
FELTHAM AND HESTON 100/1 L
NORMANTON,PONTEFRACT,CASTLEFORD 100/1 L
OLDHAM EAST AND SADDLEWORTH 100/1 L
ROCHDALE 100/1 L
S.Basildon & E.Thurrock 100/1 L
P = PADDYPOWER
W = WILLIAM HILL
L = LADBROKES
Less than 500,000 4/5
500,000 to 1,000,000 11/8
1,000,001 to 1,500,000 11/2
1,500,001 to 2,000,000 12/1
More than 2,000,000 8/1
BNP chances of winning any seat at the next election is between 5/2 and 3/1 with the odds of BNP not winning any seats being 1/5
Constituency Betting.
BARKING 7/2 P, 4/1 W, 9/2 L
DEWSBURY 20/1 P, 33/1 L
KEIGHLEY 20/1 P, 16/1 W
THURROCK 20/1 L
BURNLEY 33/1 P, 50/1 L
DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM 33/1 P
COPELAND 50/1 L
HYNDBURN 66/1 P, 50/1 W, 100/1 L
DERBY NORTH 66/1 L
SOLIHULL 100/1 P
BRADFORD EAST 100/1 W
CHIPPENHAM 100/1 W
BIRMINGHAM YARDLEY 100/1 L
FELTHAM AND HESTON 100/1 L
NORMANTON,PONTEFRACT,CASTLEFORD 100/1 L
OLDHAM EAST AND SADDLEWORTH 100/1 L
ROCHDALE 100/1 L
S.Basildon & E.Thurrock 100/1 L
P = PADDYPOWER
W = WILLIAM HILL
L = LADBROKES
Monday, 7 December 2009
BNP ODDS AT LOWEST EVER
CLICK HERE to see that William Hills have slashed the odds for the BNP to win a seat at the next election down to 5/2
Wednesday, 18 November 2009
What % of the vote will Nick Griffin get in Barking?
Under 10% 25/1
10 - 15% 10/1
16 - 20% 7/2
21 - 25% 7/4
26 - 30% 9/4
31% or more 2/1
Again Paddy Power lead the way, I had just finished my last piece when I saw this, make your own minds up but 31 % or more looks a great price you won't see again considering shares of the vote in 2005 and 2008. See previous post for full breakdown.
10 - 15% 10/1
16 - 20% 7/2
21 - 25% 7/4
26 - 30% 9/4
31% or more 2/1
Again Paddy Power lead the way, I had just finished my last piece when I saw this, make your own minds up but 31 % or more looks a great price you won't see again considering shares of the vote in 2005 and 2008. See previous post for full breakdown.
NEW BETTING MARKET FOR THE BNP.
Where will the BNP finish in Barking, this is a newly created market by Paddypower. over the coming months I am expecting quite a few new markets to be created. It is good to see as it furthers the reach of the BNP, it promotes the party to all reaches, showing we are not just a fringe element with no chance. But a real force to be reckoned with.
Here are the latest prices.
1st 7/2
2nd 4/5
3RD 15/8
4th 8/1
5th or Lower 25/1
Here are the latest prices.
1st 7/2
2nd 4/5
3RD 15/8
4th 8/1
5th or Lower 25/1
Tuesday, 17 November 2009
BNP AT ALL TIME LOW OF 3/1 TO WIN A PARLIAMENTARY SEAT IN THE NEXT ELECTION
PADDYPOWER have a price of 3/1 on the BNP winning a seat 1/5 against, the price for has moved in from 10/1 only a few months ago and the odds against were 1/10 and so have now halved. Proof if it was needed that the BNP have a real chance of breaking thru the glass ceiling.
Latest Constituency betting,
7/2 BARKING
20/1 DEWSBURY, KEIGHLEY
33/1 BURNLEY, DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM
66/1 HYNDBURN, DERBY NORTH (L)
100/1 SOLIHULL, BIRMINGHAM YARDLEY (L), BRADFORD EAST (L), CHIPPENHAM (L),NORMANTON PONTEFRACT CASTLEFORD (L), ROCHDALE (L),
UNMAKRED MEANS PADDY POWER (L) = LADBROKES. The ladbrokes prices are still the longest odds, plus there seems no reasoning around their pricing are areas selected. I wonder if they too have now been infiltrated with lets spread a bit of media hysteria. The areas chosen by Ladbrokes are not BNP heartlands, still to find a price on Thurrock, Stoke on Trent area or NW Leicestershire. Now they would be interesting areas to get prices on.
The biggest mover is of course BARKING where Nick Griffin will stand, there is still plenty of time between now and the general election, but we are moving in the right direction.
Latest Constituency betting,
7/2 BARKING
20/1 DEWSBURY, KEIGHLEY
33/1 BURNLEY, DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM
66/1 HYNDBURN, DERBY NORTH (L)
100/1 SOLIHULL, BIRMINGHAM YARDLEY (L), BRADFORD EAST (L), CHIPPENHAM (L),NORMANTON PONTEFRACT CASTLEFORD (L), ROCHDALE (L),
UNMAKRED MEANS PADDY POWER (L) = LADBROKES. The ladbrokes prices are still the longest odds, plus there seems no reasoning around their pricing are areas selected. I wonder if they too have now been infiltrated with lets spread a bit of media hysteria. The areas chosen by Ladbrokes are not BNP heartlands, still to find a price on Thurrock, Stoke on Trent area or NW Leicestershire. Now they would be interesting areas to get prices on.
The biggest mover is of course BARKING where Nick Griffin will stand, there is still plenty of time between now and the general election, but we are moving in the right direction.
Sunday, 15 November 2009
DOUBLE DOSE OF CHARISMA FOR BARKING
NicK Griffin MEP has officially announced that he will be standing for the parliamentary seat of Barking with London Assembly member Richard Barnbrook heading the campaign to making Dagenham and Barking council the first BNP council in the UK.
CLICK HERE for news clip from the BBC, the news is being carried on all major outlets, and just shows how far the party has gone and how much further we can go.
And if anyone has read my previous posts, and where the money is going with Paddy power the price has dropped from 5/1 to 7/2 for the BNP to win Barking.
CLICK HERE for news clip from the BBC, the news is being carried on all major outlets, and just shows how far the party has gone and how much further we can go.
And if anyone has read my previous posts, and where the money is going with Paddy power the price has dropped from 5/1 to 7/2 for the BNP to win Barking.
Sunday, 8 November 2009
SEAT BY SEAT BETTING FOR THE BNP
HERE IS A LIST OF PRICES FROM THE BOOKIES ON SEATS WHICH THE BNP WILL BE FIGHTING AND THE CHANCES OF WINNING THEM. THE BNP WILL BE FIGHTING A LOT MORE SEATS BUT THESE ARE THE ONLY PRICES OUT THERE AT PRESENT FROM THE MAIN BOOKIES. LADBROKES PRICES ARE MUCH WIDER THAN PADDYPOWER SO WILL GIVE THE MOST PROFIT.
5/1 BARKING (P)
20/1 DEWSBURY (P), KEIGHLEY(P)
33/1 BURNLEY (P), DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM (P)
66/1 HYNDBURN (P), DERBY NORTH (L),
100/1 SOLIHULL (P), BRADFORD EAST (L), CHIPPENHAM (L), SW NOEMANTON PONTEFRACT CASTLEFORD (L), ROCHDALE (L)
PRICES FROM
(P) = PADDYPOWER
(L) = LADBROKES
5/1 BARKING (P)
20/1 DEWSBURY (P), KEIGHLEY(P)
33/1 BURNLEY (P), DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM (P)
66/1 HYNDBURN (P), DERBY NORTH (L),
100/1 SOLIHULL (P), BRADFORD EAST (L), CHIPPENHAM (L), SW NOEMANTON PONTEFRACT CASTLEFORD (L), ROCHDALE (L)
PRICES FROM
(P) = PADDYPOWER
(L) = LADBROKES
Thursday, 5 November 2009
GLASGOW NORTH EAST BETTING MARKET ODDS
LATEST ODDS FROM LADBROKES
Labour 8/15
SNP 11/8
John Smeaton (Jury Team) 33/1
Conservatives 100/1
Greens 100/1
Liberal Democrats 100/1
Mikey Hughes 100/1
Solidarity 100/1
Scottish Socialist Party 200/1
Socialist Labour Party 200/1
BNP 500/1
Colin Campbell 500/1
Mev Brown 500/1
Labour 8/15
SNP 11/8
John Smeaton (Jury Team) 33/1
Conservatives 100/1
Greens 100/1
Liberal Democrats 100/1
Mikey Hughes 100/1
Solidarity 100/1
Scottish Socialist Party 200/1
Socialist Labour Party 200/1
BNP 500/1
Colin Campbell 500/1
Mev Brown 500/1
The political betting markets, back the BNP.
Political betting is something which has grown in leaps and bounds over the past few years. A few years ago you could only get prices on which main three political party was going to win the general election, now you can get all manner of bets.
The greatest movement I have seen is in the prices for the BNP, people will always want to dismiss BNP electoral success, saying we have had only small percentage gains, or nominal support in the country as a whole. But we as foot soldiers and supporters alike no this is different. Where as polls can be minipulated for whoever wishes to argue the point for or against. Betting markets in the main follow punters who put their money where their mouths are.
A few years ago it would be a very happy book maker who would have taken your money with a smile and offered 100/1 for the BNP to win any major electoral success. London assembly membership dropped from 50/1 to evens in a year and we proved the punters right. MEP market dropped from 20/1 to evens and again we proved the punter right.
If you look at where the markets for the general election before the euros you could get prices of 20/1 on a BNP candidate being elected as a MP, after the euro success that price dropped to 10/1 and after question time it is now as low as 7/2.
Now I am not saying that you go out and try to make your fortune from betting on the BNP, but it is more proof, if proof was needed is that the BNP is moving onwards and upwards.
It will be interesting to see how the markets move in the next few months as we near the General Election. Polls and the media will be giving the message that nothing much is happening but when money is involved the betting markets will show you what is really happening if the price closes in so is the chances of the BNP finally getting a chance to represent the British people in parliament.
The greatest movement I have seen is in the prices for the BNP, people will always want to dismiss BNP electoral success, saying we have had only small percentage gains, or nominal support in the country as a whole. But we as foot soldiers and supporters alike no this is different. Where as polls can be minipulated for whoever wishes to argue the point for or against. Betting markets in the main follow punters who put their money where their mouths are.
A few years ago it would be a very happy book maker who would have taken your money with a smile and offered 100/1 for the BNP to win any major electoral success. London assembly membership dropped from 50/1 to evens in a year and we proved the punters right. MEP market dropped from 20/1 to evens and again we proved the punter right.
If you look at where the markets for the general election before the euros you could get prices of 20/1 on a BNP candidate being elected as a MP, after the euro success that price dropped to 10/1 and after question time it is now as low as 7/2.
Now I am not saying that you go out and try to make your fortune from betting on the BNP, but it is more proof, if proof was needed is that the BNP is moving onwards and upwards.
It will be interesting to see how the markets move in the next few months as we near the General Election. Polls and the media will be giving the message that nothing much is happening but when money is involved the betting markets will show you what is really happening if the price closes in so is the chances of the BNP finally getting a chance to represent the British people in parliament.
Wednesday, 4 November 2009
BNP ODDS FOR WINNING IN KEIGHLEY
YET ANOTHER 20/1 PRICE FOR THE BNP TO WIN A SEAT, WHERE AS THE UKIP ONLY HAVE ONE AT 80/1
Conservatives 1/2
Labour 6/4
BNP 20/1
Liberal Democrats 66/1
Conservatives 1/2
Labour 6/4
BNP 20/1
Liberal Democrats 66/1
CHANCES OF BNP WINNING IN DEWSBURY DROPS
THE PRICE FOR THE BNP WINNING IN DEWSBURY HAS DROPPED TO 20/1
Conservatives 4/9
Labour 13/8
BNP 20/1
Khizar Iqbal 25/1
Liberal Democrats 80/1
Conservatives 4/9
Labour 13/8
BNP 20/1
Khizar Iqbal 25/1
Liberal Democrats 80/1
BNP BETTING ODDS IN HYNDBURN
NEW PRICE FOR THE BNP IN HYNDBURN TO WIN THE SEAT.
Conservatives 5/6
Labour 5/6
Liberal Democrats 40/1
BNP 66/1
Conservatives 5/6
Labour 5/6
Liberal Democrats 40/1
BNP 66/1
BETTING ODDS ON WHEN NICK GRIFFIN WILL STAND DOWN AS BNP LEADER
THIS JUST SHOWS HOW FAR THE BNP HAVE REACHED INTO EVERY DAY LIFE, YOU CAN NOW GET PRICES ON WHICH YEAR NICK GRIFFIN WILL STAND DOWN AS BNP LEADER.
PRICES FROM PADDY POWER
2013 or After 6/4
2010 9/4
2011 7/2
2012 4/1
2009 6/1
PRICES FROM PADDY POWER
2013 or After 6/4
2010 9/4
2011 7/2
2012 4/1
2009 6/1
NEW BETTING MARKET FOR HOW MANY VOTES WILL THE BNP GET AT THE NEXT ELECTION
THIS IS A BRAND NEW MARKET OPENED BY PADDY POWER GIVING ODDS ON HOW MANY VOTES WILL THE BNP GET AT THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Singles Only.
Applies to the total number of BNP votes at the next General Election according to the BBC.
Less than 500,000 4/5
500,000 to 1,000,000 11/8
1,000,001 to 1,500,000 5/1
More than 2,000,000 8/1
1,500,001 to 2,000,000 10/1
Singles Only.
Applies to the total number of BNP votes at the next General Election according to the BBC.
Less than 500,000 4/5
500,000 to 1,000,000 11/8
1,000,001 to 1,500,000 5/1
More than 2,000,000 8/1
1,500,001 to 2,000,000 10/1
Sunday, 1 November 2009
General Election - BNP to win a seat
General Election - BNP to win a seat
PaddyPower: 1/6 NO: 7/2 YES
Ladbrokes: 1/7 NO: 4/1 YES
William Hill:1/6 NO: 7/2 YES
Victor Chandler: 1/7 NO: 4/1 YES
AND THE PRICES JUST KEEP COMING DOWN, ROLL ON THE ELECTION WHEN HOPEFULLY WE WILL HAVE OUR FIRST ELECTED MP, AND AT LAST THE BRITISH PEOPLE WILL HAVE A VOICE IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS.
PaddyPower: 1/6 NO: 7/2 YES
Ladbrokes: 1/7 NO: 4/1 YES
William Hill:1/6 NO: 7/2 YES
Victor Chandler: 1/7 NO: 4/1 YES
AND THE PRICES JUST KEEP COMING DOWN, ROLL ON THE ELECTION WHEN HOPEFULLY WE WILL HAVE OUR FIRST ELECTED MP, AND AT LAST THE BRITISH PEOPLE WILL HAVE A VOICE IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS.
Monday, 26 October 2009
BNP ODDS FOR WINNING DEWSBURY
Conservatives 2/5
Labour 7/4
Khizar Iqbal 25/1
BNP 40/1
Liberal Democrats 100/1
Labour 7/4
Khizar Iqbal 25/1
BNP 40/1
Liberal Democrats 100/1
BNP ODDS FOR WINNING DERBY NORTH
Conservatives 5/4
Liberal Democrats 15/8
Labour 9/4
BNP 66/1
PRICES FROM LADBROKES
Liberal Democrats 15/8
Labour 9/4
BNP 66/1
PRICES FROM LADBROKES
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